Van Irsel, Jurrian, Frauendorf, Magali, Ens, Bruno, Van De Pol, Martijn, Troost, Karen, Oosterbeek, Kees, De Kroon, Hans, Jongejans, Eelke, and Allen, Andrew M. (2022) State-dependent environmental sensitivity of reproductive success and survival in a shorebird. Ibis. (In Press)

Fay, Remi, Hamel, Sandra, van de Pol, Martijn, Gaillard, Jean-Michel, Yoccoz, Nigel G., Acker, Paul, Authier, Matthieu, Larue, Benjamin, Le Coeur, Christie, Macdonald, Kaitlin R., Nicol-Harper, Alex, Barbraud, Christophe, Bonenfant, Christophe, Van Vuren, Dirk H., Cam, Emmanuelle, Delord, Karine, Gamelon, Marlene, Moiron, Maria, Pelletier, Fanie, Rotella, Jay, Teplitsky, Celine, Visser, Marcel E., Wells, Caitlin P., Wheelwright, Nathaniel T., Jenouvrier, Stephanie, and Saether, Bernt-Erik (2022) Temporal correlations among demographic parameters are ubiquitous but highly variable across species. Ecology Letters. (In Press)

Bailey, Liam D., van de Pol, Martijn, Adriaensen, Frank, Arct, Aneta, Barba, Emilio, Bellamy, Paul E., Bonamour, Suzanne, Bouvier, Jean Charles, Burgess, Malcolm D., Charmantier, Anne, Cusimano, Camillo, Doligez, Blandine, Drobniak, Szymon M., Dubiec, Anna, Eens, Marcel, Eeva, Tapio, Ferns, Peter N., Goodenough, Anne E., Hartley, Ian R., Hinsley, Shelley A., Ivankina, Elena, Juškaitis, Rimvydas, Kempenaers, Bart, Kerimov, Anvar B., Lavigne, Claire, Leivits, Agu, Mainwaring, Mark C., Matthysen, Erik, Nilsson, Jan Åke, Orell, Markku, Rytkönen, Seppo, Senar, Juan Carlos, Sheldon, Ben C., Sorace, Alberto, Stenning, Martyn J., Török, János, van Oers, Kees, Vatka, Emma, Vriend, Stefan J.G., and Visser, Marcel E. (2022) Bird populations most exposed to climate change are less sensitive to climatic variation. Nature Communications, 13. 2112.

Frauendorf, Magali, Allen, Andrew M., Jongejans, Eelke, Ens, Bruno J., Teunissen, Wolf, Kampichler, Christian, van Turnhout, Chris A.M., Bailey, Liam, de Kroon, Hans, Cremer, Jenny, Kleyheeg, Erik, Nienhuis, Jeroen, and van de Pol, Martijn (2022) Love thy neighbour?-Spatial variation in density dependence of nest survival in relation to predator community. Diversity and Distributions, 28 (4). pp. 624-635.

Fay, Rémi, Authier, Matthieu, Hamel, Sandra, Jenouvrier, Stéphanie, van de Pol, Martijn, Cam, Emmanuelle, Gaillard, Jean‐Michel, Yoccoz, Nigel G., Acker, Paul, Allen, Andrew, Aubry, Lise M., Bonenfant, Christophe, Caswell, Hal, Coste, Christophe F.D., Larue, Benjamin, Le Cœur, Christie, Gamelon, Marlène, Macdonald, Kaitlin R., Moiron, Maria, Nicol‐Harper, Alex, Pelletier, Fanie, Rotella, Jay, Teplitsky, Celine, Touzot, Laura, Wells, Caitlin, and Sæther, Bernt‐Erik (2022) Quantifying fixed individual heterogeneity in demographic parameters: performance of correlated random effects for Bernoulli variables. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 13 (1). pp. 91-104.

Mclean, Nina, Kruuk, Loeske E.B., Van Der Jeugd, Henk P., Leech, David, van Turnhout, Chris A.M., and van de Pol, Martijn (2022) Warming temperatures drive at least half of the magnitude of long-term trait changes in European birds. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 119 (10). e2105416119.

Allen, Andrew M., Jongejans, Eelke, van de Pol, Martijn, Ens, Bruno J., Frauendorf, Magali, van der Sluijs, Martijn, and de Kroon, Hans (2022) The demographic causes of population change vary across four decades in a long-lived shorebird. Ecology, 103 (4). e3615.

Van Der Kolk, Henk-Jan, Ens, Bruno J., Oosterbeek, Kees, Jongejans, Eelke, and van de Pol, Martijn (2022) The hidden cost of disturbance: Eurasian Oystercatchers (Haematopus ostralegus) avoid a disturbed roost site during the tourist season. Ibis, 164 (2). pp. 437-450.

Frauendorf, Magali, Allen, Andrew M., Verhulst, Simon, Jongejans, Eelke, Ens, Bruno J., van der Kolk, Henk Jan, de Kroon, Hans, Nienhuis, Jeroen, and van de Pol, Martijn (2021) Conceptualizing and quantifying body condition using structural equation modelling: a user guide. Journal of Animal Ecology, 90 (11). pp. 2478-2496.

Bakker, Wiene, Ens, Bruno J., Dokter, Adriaan, van der Kolk, Henk Jan, Rappoldt, Kees, van de Pol, Martijn, Troost, Karin, van der Veer, Henk W., Bijleveld, Allert I., van der Meer, Jaap, Oosterbeek, Kees, Jongejans, Eelke, and Allen, Andrew M. (2021) Connecting foraging and roosting areas reveals how food stocks explain shorebird numbers. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 259. 107458.

van de Pol, Martijn, and Brouwer, Lyanne (2021) Cross-lags and the unbiased estimation of life-history and demographic parameters. Journal of Animal Ecology, 90 (10). pp. 2234-2253.

Cockburn, Andrew, Peñalba, Joshua V., Jaccoud, Damian, Kilian, Andrzej, Brouwer, Lyanne, Double, Michael C., Margraf, Nicolas, Osmond, Helen L., Kruuk, Loeske E.B., and van de Pol, Martijn (2021) Hiphop: improved paternity assignment among close relatives using a simple exclusion method for biallelic markers. Molecular Ecology Resources, 21 (6). pp. 1850-1865.

van der Kolk, Henk Jan, Ens, Bruno J., Oosterbeek, Kees, Bouten, Willem, Allen, Andrew M., Frauendorf, Magali, Lameris, Thomas K., Oosterbeek, Thijs, Deuzeman, Symen, de Vries, Kelly, Jongejans, Eelke, and van de Pol, Martijn (2021) Shorebird feeding specialists differ in how environmental conditions alter their foraging time. Behavioral Ecology, 31 (2). pp. 371-382.

van der Kolk, Henk-Jan, Ens, Bruno J., Frauendorf, Magali, Jongejans, Eelke, Oosterbeek, Kees, Bouten, Willem, and van de Pol, Martijn (2021) Why time-limited individuals can make populations more vulnerable to disturbance. Oikos, 130 (4). pp. 637-651.

van de Pol, M., Brouwer, L., and Cockburn, A. (2020) R package hiphop: parentage assignment using bi-allelic genetic markers. Statistical software. [Creative Work]

van der Kolk, H., Krijgsveld, K.L., Linssen, H., Diertens, R., Dolman, D., Jans, M., Frauendorf, M., Ens, B.J., and van de Pol, M. (2020) Cumulative energetic costs of military aircraft, recreational and natural disturbance in roosting shorebirds. Animal Conservation, 23 (4). pp. 359-372.

de Villemereuil, Pierre, Charmantier, Anne, Arlt, Debora, Bize, Pierre, Brekke, Patricia, Brouwer, Lyanne, Cockburn, Andrew, Côté, Steeve D., Dobson, F. Stephen, Evans, Simon R., Festa-Bianchet, Marco, Gamelon, Marlène, Hamel, Sandra, Hegelbach, Johann, Jerstad, Kurt, Kempenaers, Bart, Kruuk, Loeske E.B., Kumpula, Jouko, Kvalnes, Thomas, McAdam, Andrew G., McFarlane, S. Eryn, Morrissey, Michael B., Pärt, Tomas, Pemberton, Josephine M., Qvarnström, Anna, Røstad, Ole Wiggo, Schroeder, Julia, Senar, Juan Carlos, Sheldon, Ben C., van de Pol, Martijn, Visser, Marcel E., Wheelwright, Nathaniel T., Tufto, Jarle, and Chevin, Luis Miguel (2020) Fluctuating optimum and temporally variable selection on breeding date in birds and mammals. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117 (50). pp. 31969-31978.

Brouwer, Lyanne, Cockburn, Andrew, and van de Pol, Martijn (2020) Integrating fitness components reveals that survival costs outweigh other benefits and costs of group living in two closely related species. American Naturalist, 195 (2). pp. 201-215.

McLean, Nina M., van der Jeugd, Henk P., van Turnhout, Chris A.M., Lefcheck, Jonathan S., and van de Pol, Martijn (2020) Reduced avian body condition due to global warming has little reproductive or population consequences. Oikos, 129 (5). pp. 714-730.

van der Kolk, Henk-Jan, Allen, Andrew M., Ens, Bruno J., Oosterbeek, Kees, Jongejans, Eelke, and van de Pol, Martijn (2020) Spatiotemporal variation in disturbance impacts derived from simultaneous tracking of aircraft and shorebirds. Journal of Applied Ecology, 57 (12). pp. 2406-2418.

Radchuk, Viktoriia, Reed, Thomas, Teplitsky, Céline, van de Pol, Martijn, Charmantier, Anne, Hassall, Christopher, Adamík, Peter, Adriaensen, Frank, Ahola, Markus P., Arcese, Peter, Miguel Avilés, Jesús, Balbontin, Javier, Berg, Karl S., Borras, Antoni, Burthe, Sarah, Clobert, Jean, Dehnhard, Nina, de Lope, Florentino, Dhondt, André A., Dingemanse, Niels J., Doi, Hideyuki, Eeva, Tapio, Fickel, Joerns, Filella, Iolanda, Fossøy, Frode, Goodenough, Anne E., Hall, Stephen J.G., Hansson, Bengt, Harris, Michael, Hasselquist, Dennis, Hickler, Thomas, Joshi, Jasmin, Kharouba, Heather, Martínez, Juan Gabriel, Mihoub, Jean Baptiste, Mills, James A., Molina-Morales, Mercedes, Moksnes, Arne, Ozgul, Arpat, Parejo, Deseada, Pilard, Philippe, Poisbleau, Maud, Rousset, Francois, Rödel, Mark Oliver, Scott, David, Senar, Juan Carlos, Stefanescu, Constanti, Stokke, Bård G., Kusano, Tamotsu, Tarka, Maja, Tarwater, Corey E., Thonicke, Kirsten, Thorley, Jack, Wilting, Andreas, Tryjanowski, Piotr, Merilä, Juha, Sheldon, Ben C., Pape Møller, Anders, Matthysen, Erik, Janzen, Fredric, Dobson, F. Stephen, Visser, Marcel E., Beissinger, Steven R., Courtiol, Alexandre, and Kramer-Schadt, Stephanie (2019) Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient. Nature Communications, 10 (1). 3109.

Evans, Tracy R., Salvatore, Donald, van de Pol, Martijn, and Musters, C.J.M. (2019) Adult firefly abundance is linked to weather during the larval stage in the previous year. Ecological Entomology, 44 (2). pp. 265-273.

Haest, Birgen, Hüppop, Ommo, van de Pol, Martijn, and Bairlein, Franz (2019) Autumn bird migration phenology: a potpourri of wind, precipitation and temperature effects. Global Change Biology, 25 (12). pp. 4064-4080.

Allen, Andrew M., Ens, Bruno J., van de Pol, Martijn, Van Der Jeugd, Henk, Frauendorf, Magali, Van Der Kolk, Henk Jan, Oosterbeek, Kees, Nienhuis, Jeroen, and Jongejans, Eelke (2019) Colour-ring wear and loss effects in citizen science mark-resighting studies. Avian Research, 10 (1). 11.

Bulla, Martin, Reneerkens, Jeroen, Weiser, Emily L., Sokolov, Aleksandr, Taylor, Audrey R., Sittler, Benoît, McCaffery, Brian J., Ruthrauff, Dan R., Catlin, Daniel H., Payer, David C., Ward, David H., Solovyeva, Diana V., Santos, Eduardo S.A., Rakhimberdiev, Eldar, Nol, Erica, Kwon, Eunbi, Brown, Glen S., Hevia, Glenda D., River Gates, H., Johnson, James A., van Gils, Jan A., Hansen, Jannik, Lamarre, Jean François, Rausch, Jennie, Conklin, Jesse R., Liebezeit, Joe, Bêty, Joël, Lang, Johannes, Alves, José A., Fernández-Elipe, Juan, Exo, Klaus Michael, Bollache, Loïc, Bertellotti, Marcelo, Giroux, Marie Andrée, van de Pol, Martijn, Johnson, Matthew, Boldenow, Megan L., Valcu, Mihai, Soloviev, Mikhail, Sokolova, Natalya, Senner, Nathan R., Lecomte, Nicolas, Meyer, Nicolas, Schmidt, Niels Martin, Gilg, Olivier, Smith, Paul A., Machín, Paula, McGuire, Rebecca L., Cerboncini, Ricardo A.S., Ottvall, Richard, van Bemmelen, Rob S.A., Swift, Rose J., Saalfeld, Sarah T., Jamieson, Sarah E., Brown, Stephen, Piersma, Theunis, Albrecht, Tomas, D’Amico, Verónica, Lanctot, Richard B., and Kempenaers, Bart (2019) Comment on “Global pattern of nest predation is disrupted by climate change in shorebirds”. Science, 364 (6445). eaaw8529.

Linssen, Hans, van de Pol, Martijn, Allen, Andrew, Jans, Mitzi, Ens, Bruno J., Krijgsveld, Karen, Frauendorf, Magali, and Van Der Kolk, Henk-Jan (2019) Disturbance increases high tide travel distance of a roosting shorebird but only marginally affects daily energy expenditure. Avian Research, 10. 31.

Bailey, Liam D., Ens, Bruno J., Both, Christiaan, Heg, Dik, Oosterbeek, Kees, and van de Pol, Martijn (2019) Habitat selection can reduce effects of extreme climatic events in a long-lived shorebird. Journal of Animal Ecology, 88 (10). pp. 1474-1485.

Lichtenauer, Wendy, van de Pol, Martijn, Cockburn, Andrew, and Brouwer, Lyanne (2019) Indirect fitness benefits through extra-pair mating are large for an inbred minority, but cannot explain widespread infidelity among red-winged fairy-wrens. Evolution, 73 (3). pp. 467-480.

van de Pol, Martijn, and Bailey, Liam D. (2019) Quantifying the climatic sensitivity of individuals, populations, and species. In: Dunn, P.O., and Møller, A.P., (eds.) Effects of Climate Change on Birds. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK, pp. 44-59.

Hidalgo Aranzamendi, Nataly, Hall, Michelle L., Kingma, Sjouke A., van de Pol, Martijn, and Peters, Anne (2019) Rapid plastic breeding response to rain matches peak prey abundance in a tropical savanna bird. Journal of Animal Ecology, 88 (11). pp. 1799-1811.

Allen, Andrew, Ens, Bruno J., van de Pol, Martijn, Van Der Jeugd, Henk, Frauendorf, Magali, Oosterbeek, Kees, and Jongejans, Eelke (2019) Seasonal survival and migratory connectivity of the Eurasian Oystercatcher revealed by citizen science. Auk, 136 (1). pp. 1-17.

McLean, Nina, Van Der Jeugd, Henk P., and van de Pol, Martijn (2018) High intra-specific variation in avian body condition responses to climate limits generalisation across species. PLoS ONE, 13 (2). e0192401.

van de Pol, Martijn, Jenouvrier, Stéphanie, Cornelissen, Johannes H.C., and Visser, Marcel E. (2017) Behavioural, ecological and evolutionary responses to extreme climatic events: Challenges and directions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 372 (1723). 20160134.

Brouwer, Lyanne, van de Pol, Martijn, Aranzamendi, Nataly Hidalgo, Bain, Glen, Baldassarre, Daniel T., Brooker, Lesley C., Brooker, Michael G., Colombelli-Négrel, Diane, Enbody, Erik, Gielow, Kurt, Hall, Michelle L., Johnson, Allison E., Karubian, Jordan, Kingma, Sjouke A., Kleindorfer, Sonia, Louter, Marina, Mulder, Raoul A., Peters, Anne, Pruett-Jones, Stephen, Tarvin, Keith A., Thrasher, Derrick J., Varian-Ramos, Claire W., Webster, Michael S., and Cockburn, Andrew (2017) Multiple hypotheses explain variation in extra-pair paternity at different levels in a single bird family. Molecular Ecology, 26 (23). pp. 6717-6729.

Bailey, Liam D., Ens, Bruno J., Both, Christiaan, Heg, Dik, Oosterbeek, Kees, and van de Pol, Martijn (2017) No phenotypic plasticity in nest-site selection in response to extreme flooding events. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 372 (1723). 20160139.

Bakker, Jan P., Baas, Andreas C.W., Bartholdy, Jesper, Jones, Laurence, Ruessink, Gerben, Temmerman, Stijn, and van de Pol, Martijn (2016) Environmental impacts — coastal ecosystems. In: Quante, Markus, and Colijn, Franciscus, (eds.) North Sea Region Climate Change Assessment. Springer Nature, Cham, Switzerland, pp. 275-314.

van de Pol, Martijn, Bailey, Liam D., Mclean, Nina, Rijsdijk, Laurie, Lawson, Callum R., and Brouwer, Lyanne (2016) Identifying the best climatic predictors in ecology and evolution. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 7 (10). pp. 1246-1257.

Mourocq, Emeline, Bize, Pierre, Bouwhuis, Sandra, Bradley, Russell, Charmantier, Anne, de la Cruz, Carlos, Drobniak, Szymon M., Espie, Richard H.M., Herényi, Márton, Hötker, Hermann, Krüger, Oliver, Marzluff, John, Møller, Anders P., Nakagawa, Shinichi, Phillips, Richard A., Radford, Andrew N., Roulin, Alexandre, Török, János, Valencia, Juliana, van de Pol, Martijn, Warkentin, Ian G., Winney, Isabel S., Wood, Andrew G., and Griesser, Michael (2016) Life span and reproductive cost explain interspecific variation in the optimal onset of reproduction. Evolution, 70 (2). pp. 296-313.

Lejeune, Lea, van de Pol, Martijn, Cockburn, Andrew, Louter, Marina, and Brouwer, Lyanne (2016) Male and female helper effects on maternal investment and adult survival in red-winged fairy-wrens. Behavioral Ecology, 27 (6). pp. 1841-1850.

McLean, Nina, Lawson, Callum R., Leech, David I., and van de Pol, Martijn (2016) Predicting when climate-driven phenotypic change affects population dynamics. Ecology Letters, 19 (6). pp. 595-608.

Cockburn, Andrew, Brouwer, Lyanne, Margraf, Nicolas, Osmond, Helen L., and van de Pol, Martijn (2016) Superb fairy-wrens: making the worst of a good job. In: Koenig, Walter D., Dickinson, Janis L., and den Ridder, Stef, (eds.) Cooperative Breeding in Vertebrates: studies of ecology, evolution, and behavior. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 133-149.

Bailey, Liam D., and van de Pol, Martijn (2016) Tackling extremes: challenges for ecological and evolutionary research on extreme climatic events. Journal of Animal Ecology, 85 (1). pp. 85-96.

Bailey, Liam D., and van de Pol, Martijn (2016) climwin: an R toolbox for climate window analysis. PLoS ONE, 11. e0167980.